The new October Surprise?

A friend writes,

"While everyone is looking for BinLadin to be trotted out, a subtle choice for Oct surprise is...

Zarquawi

...given that he has been singled him out consistently as THE bad guy in most of the recent attacks, beheadings, videos ( I mean every little thing in Iraq happeninig is
acscribed to him)

.....and in most of these he is supposedly there (either a voice or seen behind a mask)...it is easy to think that they already have him now and want to make the biggest legend of him before
triumphantly announcing his capture this month."